Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. Fitzpatrick just keeps chugging along, piling up top 20s no matter where he plays. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. LIV rebel says he's "much happier" after ditching PGA Among the "contenders" (ranked 21-60), Max Homa is the current people's choice. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Golf betting online is a terrific way to spice up the big tournaments. Speaking of sour short games, enter Corey Conners. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Golf betting record in 2023 through Sony: 3-5-1, -1.274 units (0-2 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $333,387.22 (Cam Davis taken at Sony, $41,387.22) PGA Tour expert. But no, this was a standalone PGA Tour event that saw just three of the world's top 20 golfers participating. You can decide if a hole-in-one will occur, how many strokes the winner will win, if a playoff will take place, and which golfer will shoot the lowest score in a certain round. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015 outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks, field: Surprising PGA predictions USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Young finished T-13th last year at Bay Hill and T-29th last week at the Honda Classic. Schauffeles short game has left him at times recently, costing him valuable strokes coming down the stretch. Its the first elevated event of the PGA Tour season, meaning that we have a loaded field with eight of the Top 10 golfers in the world teeing it up, including Rory McIlroy making his first start stateside in 2023. You must be of legal age in the state where you are betting on golf. If you thought last weeks elevated event was big, itll be basically the same field at a major-championship caliber golf course, all while injecting Tiger Woods into the field! Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. The PGA Tour and LPGA Tour announced a new mixed-team event that will debut later this year in Florida and replace the QBE Shootout. In 2007 and in previous majors, the premium was all about putting your tee shot in the fairway. betting. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. Vegas has played well in 2023, earning a T-23 in Phoenix and T-25 in La Jolla. Having returned to his alma maters home state of Texas, the 25-year-old is the clear favorite, and a win here may be just the beginning for this talented golfer. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. Genesis Invitational picks 2023: Why our experts trust Justin Thomas Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. For comparison's sake, the first round of The Honda Classic Thursday afternoon on Golf Channel drew 342,000 and 50,000 in the 18-49 demo. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. 1 Open Expert Picks - majorpunter golf; 2 Golf Picks - Expert PGA Golf Picks This Week | Pickswise; 3 RickRunGood | Fantasy Golf & Betting Data; 4 Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood) / Twitter; 5 Wyndham Championship expert picks: Who an expert is picking to win; 6 Gambling | This is the Loop | 7 PGA Picks This Week 2022: PGA Tour Expert Picks and . Featured Recent Fantasy DFS Betting 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Its a good idea to look for a player who has recently performed well or has a good record on the course in question. Pick To Win: Keith Mitchell ($6,600 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. Hes proving to be a force on world-class golf courses, and hes in the best stretch of golf of his career. News; Wikipedia; CBS Sports 2023-02-28: The PGA Tour schedule continues Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Expert Picks: TOUR Championship Honda: Chris Kirk. I believe there are two legitimate paths to victory at Southern Hillselite approach play or elite around-the-green ability. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) Atop the FedEx Cup rankings, he has a knack for diving deep, which will come in handy as he is one of our PGA picks. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) The rating, however, was a 0.23 because Golf Channel is in fewer homes than the CW Network. Hattons T-6 in Phoenix was impressiveearning 10.18 strokes in the ball-striking categories, second to only Scottie Scheffler. Most essential will be navigating the renovated greens and the surrounds, which will be treacherous to recover from. There are not many places that I'll roster Zach Johnson but sitting at $6500 on DraftKings and knowing his track record at Bay Hill, it's hard to ignore. Which ball counts? Hideki Matsuyama ($8,200 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Arnold palmer invitational picks golf digest. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. Thanks to live-in-play wagering, its possible to bet on a tournament even after its already begun. Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks Golf Digest Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head He might not win this loaded event, but hes worth a look for some placement finishes at what is sure to be a good number. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. Nicklaus: 2024 PGA Tour Schedule Will Help the Honda Classic's Field Rookies, veterans, and journeymen all need good results at Sedgefield Country Club to ensure their place in the FedEx St, where the top 125 players will be announced next week at Jude Championship field in TPC Southwind. Were burning another big name after whiffing of Fitzpatrick last week. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Sam Burns ($9,100 DraftKings | $10,600 FanDuel). The 28-year-old has his eye on No. He hasnt won on American soil since the 2015 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. For the sake of placing a wager, every online sportsbook makes use of geolocation technology to determine your current location. He hasnt had much major success, but the PGA Championship has been his best, making the cut in eight of nine starts. As was already mentioned, betting on nationality is a unique and exciting choice. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). American Express: Brian Harman. At the same time, though, JT hasnt finished outside of the Top 20 at TPC Scottsdale in each of the last five years and has been Top 10 three times and Top 5 twice in that stretch. 1 and has won four times in his. You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Matsuyama has battled injury this year, but when hes played he has played well. But given how well hes played in 2022 from the tee to the green, a putter that works for him might be able to change that. He is one of our PGA tours picks this week. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. Below, we look at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and make our PGA Read more on usatoday.com. Over his past 14 starts worldwide, hes notched 10 top-20 finishes, including a win on the DP World Tour and a T-2 in his most recent start. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. PGA Championship picks 2022: The Viktor Hovland debate For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. Spencer Aguiar, one of the most successful PGA bettors in the industry, now features 10+ weekly articles with his exclusive picks, rankings and models in the TeeOffSports VIP subscription. Before placing a wager on a specific golfer or matchup, you can check out how theyre doing in previous rounds. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. He often plays from the rough, but hell have company this week as Riviera features some of the hardest fairways to hit all year. ), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Both are ideal fits for this type of ball-striking course and Rahm has been a Top 10 machine here as the hometown guy. Whats the secret of longevity and good golf? 4. Usually. According to fellow tour pro Xander Schauffele, yes, he most certainly does. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, expert picks, odds, golf best bets, field rankings at Bay Hill. No. 6 LSU women's golf wins Darius Rucker Intercollegiate His past 13 individual events have produced zero top 30s, and hes losing strokes in nearly every category. WM Phoenix Open DraftKings golf picks 2023: Best PGA DFS lineup. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. In fact, the three times we did see him in 2022, he lost more than 18 total strokes to the field. There are plenty of Augusta National vibes in the terrain at Southern Hills, so the 2021 Masters champion should be very comfortable. ), AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [UPDATED], AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am DraftKings golf picks 2023: Best PGA DFS lineup. Adrian Meronk ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,500 FanDuel). Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. PGA Championship odds from DraftKings golf odds show that Jon Rahm (+1100) is the current favorite to win the tournament. Over the last five tournaments, he has averaged a score of -8. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. He held the lead at this event in 2021 heading into the back nine on Sunday. The 2020-21 PGA Tour season ends with this week's Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia. The golfers who lead the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee so far in 2023, along with the drivers and shafts they are using. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. This is some of the best golf Hatton has played in quite some time. Tardy was one of 46 players to get LPGA Tour cards for the 2023 season on Sunday after the conclusion of the eight-round marathon that is LPGA Q Series. About Us Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Honda: Sungjae Im. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. RELATED:How Tiger Woods could make a huge jump in the Official World Golf Ranking this week, Jhonattan Vegas ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel). He has two top-17 finishes in his past three trips to this event and is coming off a T-10 in Phoenix last week. A compact and shrewd design by George C. Thomas Jr. and associate William P. Bell, Riviera features everything from a long Redan par 3 to a bunker in the middle of a green to an alternate-fairway par 4. RELATED: PGA Championship picks 2022: Our experts debate Viktor Hovland's chances. Fading public in Pelicans-Blazers and PGA special: Best Picks for See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Sportsbooks have Will Zalatoris, Shane Lowry, and Sungjae IM at the top of the betting board as the tour goes to Memphis next week for the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. With the U.S. Open awarded to nearby LA Country Club for 2023, it doesnt appear Riviera will get another Open (though it will host the 2028 Olympics). It is impossible to keep up with all of the PGA Tours upcoming tournaments without our golf expert picks. The PGA Tour will wrap up its 2021-22 season this week with the 2022 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Ga. It's the final leg of the FedExCup Playoffs with just 30 players. Both of those skill-sets should be critical at Southern Hills, plus add in the WD last week due to injuryand there are more questions than answers for Koepka. To know more about our writers and our ranking method you can learn more about ESTNN. RELATED: Here are the odds of every player in the field at the 2022 PGA Championship, Safest Option: Justin Thomas ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,700 FanDuel). When it comes to the largest tournaments, some bookmakers give up to 8 or 10 spots. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Learn from Jon Rahms abbreviated action to maximise your power game. If two golfers are matched up, sportsbooks may make wagers on who will come out on top based on who has the better score. PGA picks this week can be made or broken by the tiny variances in schedules and tournaments. Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach:7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets)One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0), Top 10 pick for WM Phoenix Open: Justin Thomas (+220). The only thing that scares me about Justin Thomas is that his approach play in his most recent starts hasnt been up to his lofty standards. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. And 44 of the top 50 players in the OWGR are playing this. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. The setup at Bay Hill will play similarly to PGA National, and if a few more putts fall and Young . Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. Outside of those events, Cantlay has been stellar. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. The two time major winner . Thats one of his better stretches since early 2020. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. At most sportsbooks, you can wager on a player to finish in the top three, top five, or top 10 of their event. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting. Its a 30-player event with a guaranteed minimum prize pool of $395,000 for the winner. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Thats going to be half the battle at Southern Hills and should allow Mitchell to often play from the correct position. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. This spring, he finished second at the 3M Open and finished in the top 10 at the Masters (T8), the Memorial (T10), and the Deutsche Bank Championship (T8). Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course - DataGolf): 1. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. RELATED: Our latest podcast explores the gambling revolution already hitting golf, Pick To Win: Billy Horschel ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Due to the big field sizes and the four-day format, many longshots win or come close to victory on the tour. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, PGA Championship 2022 DFS picks: A surprising fade and bold plays from our data scientist, significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago, Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills. Hes separating himself from his peers on approach and with the putter, two skills that will be rewarded again this week. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Despite the trouble guarding so many of the greens at PGA Nationals Champion course, Kirk managed to hit 54 of 72 greens to rank T-7 for the week, while posting a strokes gained/approach mark of 7.643 strokes gained on the field to rank second. Hes one of the longest hitters on tour and has gained strokes around-the-green in five straight. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, predictions, field, odds: Golf expert fading Justin Thomas at Bay Hill. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy.